Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 73482.788404 77660.202309 81842.459362 86340.710588 91038.970158 95798.281758 100980.840987
2025-12-28 67168.348388 73566.823757 80155.765461 87438.583885 95253.300736 103377.505238 112452.505357
2026-01-04 62614.965213 70548.346947 78901.296669 88332.386897 98665.077133 109621.604798 122098.276840
2026-01-11 58935.799333 68007.260512 77738.137983 88921.196830 101385.467488 114817.897291 130354.856220
2026-01-18 55647.029488 65583.664523 76419.143724 89065.979142 103373.440632 119008.935132 137337.877392
2026-01-25 52903.654894 63554.359859 75341.787061 89291.843029 105284.396960 122978.452914 143966.227628
2026-02-01 50330.621316 61549.069097 74136.524148 89225.047387 106734.310280 126325.577963 149813.133841
2026-02-08 48508.830534 60297.034070 73690.805227 89933.448473 108990.226483 130529.818265 156601.159307
2026-02-15 46459.742836 58667.040715 72705.559248 89920.542276 110330.698475 133622.410832 162070.149436
2026-02-22 45294.496076 58021.593479 72819.215640 91148.283323 113084.782726 138334.247115 169422.331893
2026-03-01 44011.145698 57166.400589 72624.733542 91958.150876 115306.211416 142401.535282 176018.574749
2026-03-08 42367.378578 55799.335151 71750.044412 91891.168277 116431.916888 145141.581486 181029.440330
2026-03-15 40963.821975 54691.066327 71161.795404 92154.873615 117955.814689 148376.106181 186678.410508
2026-03-22 40219.535928 54374.359431 71519.860724 93560.335886 120862.476297 153281.160786 194367.402134
2026-03-29 39331.843475 53836.904721 71571.628896 94561.524408 123259.832568 157572.184818 201335.801707
2026-04-05 38329.102632 53111.807374 71353.662429 95196.925215 125186.050921 161284.288412 207611.957577
2026-04-12 37165.424908 52136.160065 70781.358151 95352.928258 126490.494153 164221.908726 212942.506579
2026-04-19 36105.235573 51257.681634 70298.889767 95592.397950 127876.867715 167249.288196 218387.226813
2026-04-26 34966.219686 50236.923779 69598.787549 95521.925509 128847.198848 169746.520314 223174.546098
2026-05-03 34237.929694 49736.651818 69550.099537 96270.922955 130847.183607 173527.484726 229575.559003
2026-05-10 33226.890634 48823.815308 68933.439434 96257.286057 131852.527822 176051.455313 234406.311535
2026-05-17 32802.082023 48689.445949 69327.935613 97555.189019 134544.597892 180712.695930 241953.272348
2026-05-24 32220.911951 48320.871754 69395.446532 98411.240716 136660.534382 184650.018688 248606.268690